How the Computer Program Works |
The computer program works by analysing each previous performance of each horse in a race. It assigns a rating to each of these previous performances. These ratings are then used to generate a rating for the current race. The ratings are then sorted into order, to give the predicted finishing order for the race. The program has been developed by analysing thousands of actual results from previous seasons. This has allowed the formula used to generate the ratings to be refined continually. I have been working on the program for about 10 years now (I am actually a computer programmer by profession). I started by concentrating on a small subset of all horse races (flat races for 2-year-old horses). When I had developed a program which worked for these races, I gradually extended it. I now predict all types of horse races (both flat races and national hunt races). I maintain a database of all previous horse races results. The ratings are based entirely on previous race course performances and conditions of the race being predicted (i.e.. distance, weights, draw ...). The program does not use anything like my opinion or any trainer's or jockey's opinion. All I do to generate the ratings is to input details of the race to be predicted and run the program. Note that I am not willing to give away any more details about how the program works. Everything else is a secret. The program is not for sale.
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